Showing posts with label projections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label projections. Show all posts

Monday, March 26, 2012

Referrals have been mailed!!

According to RQ an European agency has reported that the CCAA mailed out referrals today!! Thank God because at 3:30am this morning when I woke up and started checking the Spanish RQ site I still didn't see any rumors and to be honest I was getting worried!

Lets hope if they were in fact mailed then the European agencies will start getting them tomorrow and we can FINALLY know if we are in his month or not!!

Friday, March 23, 2012

Another Friday and NO news!

Well this week has been HELL - I wake up two or three times a night checking the Spanish RQ and the RQ and the forum and facebook etc... it is awful.

I really thought we would hear something today but I guess not. Another weekend with no news and the worst part is that we don't know if we are in or not?? I just want to know already!!!!

On another note - I work at the best place ever and this amazing Sundae Bar was set up and open at 3:00pm Friday afternoon!! What a great treat after a crappy week!!!


Thursday, March 22, 2012

STILL Matching??? Really??

Well we were really hoping to hear something last Friday (16th) , which of course we did not and even worse it is now Thursday and still nothing UGGGHHHH so frustrating.

A big American agency says that the CCAA are matching and RQ confirmed the same thing so I am REALLY hoping to hear something tomorrow! It would be okay if I just knew if we would beincluded this month or not - that is the part that is killing me. I can't imagine having to go through another month like this.

There are alot of people hoping/thinking they will finish August and I hope they are right I just can't believe it. I am just hoping they make it to the 29th and I am not even sure they will do that since that would mean 8 days?? There are some rumors that we could/should hear something tomorrow so once again...fingers crossed!

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

"Organizing Paperwork"

Well it is official - the CCAA are "organizing paperwork" which means they "could" be and hopefully are working on matching us right now!!!

Last month the "organizing paperwork" report came out on a Wednesday(15th) and then on the Friday(17th) it was reported that referrals were sent and that the CCAA had done up to and including Aug 21st.

I am REALLY hoping it happens that way again this month - that would mean we could hear something Friday! If nothing else it would be nice to hear how far they have gotten this month. Also I am REALLY REALLY hoping we are included this month! If not it will be next month for sure but we are hoping its this month.

Shouldn't be too long now!

Monday, March 5, 2012

March 1st...could it be???


Could it be this month?? After 66 months - Yes that's right 66 months!!! Could March be our month??

For the first time I don't know what I think about what the CCAA will do next. Even RQ is saying she just doesn't know what to think anymore? Last month the CCAA only did 6 days which was the equivalent of 12 RQ families - if they did 12 families again (which is a pathetic number) then we would be included but that would be 8 days so will they do that many days??

Only time will tell!!!

Monday, February 20, 2012

2000 Days - February 19th, 2012

February 19th marks 2,000 days since our file was logged in a computer in China! I can't really even believe we have waited this long - if you had told me it would be this long when I started I probably would have never signed up.

Fast forward 2,000 days and I am glad we signed up, glad we have stuck it out, the timing seems to be great and we are sooooo happy we are almost done!!!

This is where our file has been sitting for the last 2,000 days!!

Friday, February 17, 2012

February referrals...


Referrals came out February 17th, 2012

Well it was a very emotional crazy month for us on many levels but one was the impending referrals. The CCAA had done up to and including August 15th in January so that meant we were officially 14days away from referral. Now normally I wouldn't have given it a second thought but since there is no one logged in with the CCAA (according to the RQ polls) between Aug 19-27th we thought there may be a small, very small chance we could have made it in?? I personally was giving it a 2% chance but it is amazing how as you get close that 2% gets the better of you

I know China "could" have gotten to us this month technically but I never thought they would do 14 days worth - and I was right. The only did up to and including Aug 21st. I was a little more than disappointed with this - I was thinking they would split the empty days in the middle and then hopefully finish August in March but now I am not sure??

I was REALLY thinking it would be March but it was kind of a kick in the stomach when I saw the 21st - I mean in terms of RQ families it is the worst batch EVER (not that doing those couple of more days would have made a difference in that area) I just don't know if they will do 8 days next time??

On a good note - we are less than 10 LID's away from referral!! OMG single digits!!!

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Happy New Year...and what a year it will be!!!!

Happy New Year everyone!! This year is going to (fingers crossed) be one of the most exciting years of our lives!! I can't believe that we have waited this long but hopefully it will all be worth it in the end when we finally get our little girl. The next couple of months will be a very busy and exciting time - so much to do so much to plan for and yet so much I feel I can't do until we get our referral.
Usually I find the first 4 or 5 months of the year fly by but I have a feeling this year may seem more like they are going by at a snails pace.

The chart below is from our agencies website - it shows where we are in terms of referrals etc.. as you can see there is now only one group ahead of ours - group 272!!! It is so close yet still so far. I really hope the CCAA is feeling generous when sending referrals this month prior to the Chinese New Year!!



64 months!!

I think after 60 months hit I have totally lost track - I keep forgetting to post on the 29th of the month. There really isn't much to say other than hopefully it will be our turn in the next couple of months!!

Here's hoping I only need to post 2 or 3 more of these month counters!!

Monday, December 19, 2011

December referrals - who would have thought!

Well the CCAA has sent out a referral batch this month which mean 12 batches have gone out this year!!! I don't remember the last time 12 went out in one years so it is definitely exciting. Now of course in typical CCAA fashion they can't let us get too excited so they sent out a small piddly 3 day batch. It was 21 RQ families which is not that far of from the other batches we have seen since July of this year but it is still a little disappointing. I was hoping they would get to the 13th this month. Also they sent them about a week earlier than I was thinking they would - I am hoping this is because they plan on sending the next batch before the leave for CNY at the end of Jan 2012

As long as they send out referrals each month I still think we "should" be on track for March/April. There is a large stretch of days (19th - 27th) ahead of us that appears to have no one logged in so hopefully they will skip by that fairly quickly!

Its getting closer all the time, meanwhile Mhyia is in China not even aware that we think about her everyday ~ love you already baby girl!

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

November Referrals

Just before Mike and I left on our Cruise the CCAA sent a referral batch for November!! I was wondering if they would even send a batch considering they typically seem to skip a month somewhere around the end of the year. They have been very consistent this year and I am keeping my fingers crossed that they actually send out referrals in December also. That would be 12 batches this year and typically they send 11.

They referred up to and including August 7th - that means only 22 more days to us!!! OMG I actually can't even believe I am saying that - it seems like it has been so far away for so long and now it is coming up so fast!!

RQ (which I LOVE as most of you know) is now predicting Jan/Feb for a referral for us. January if they don't skip December and February if they do skip December. I personally think it is going to be a bit longer but it is still so exciting to see our date in her projection chart AHHHHH!!!!! I am actually thinking if they do a batch in Dec and then each month after then we could (best case) be February otherwise I am thinking March or April 2012.








Sunday, October 23, 2011

FINALLY in AUGUST!!!!!!!

Well we weren't sure if we would see referrals in October but to our surprise we not only got them, we got them early!! I woke up on Friday October 21st to RQ reporting that the CCAA had referred up to and including Aug 2, 2006.

OMG can I just point out that they are FINALLY in August!!!!! The referral batch was really small, in fact the smallest EVER but I was happy for a couple of reasons:


  • to see referrals for this month at all

  • to see that they made it in to August

  • to see that they came over a week sooner than we thought!

  • also there is only group 271 ahead of us now at our agency!

What does this mean for us?? Good question LOL - I am still thinking March or April for a referral and we are fine with that!! I totally expect they will skip a month either Nov or Dec and then I feel it will take them 3 to 5 months to finish Aug and of course we are Aug 29th. Now according to RQ polls there is no one logged in Aug 19-27, which should help to speed things up for us a little.


As always - only time will tell!!

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

RQ's Projections

Anyone who has followed along the last almost 6 years knows that I am sooooo thankful for a website called china adopt talk, also know as Rumor Queen. It has literally been a life line for us thorugh this adoption. I go on it at least once a day up to 10+ times a day if it is around referral time.

Each month RQ projects the next couple of months out right after the most recent referrals. This month RQ's projections put us at Dec/Jan for a referral - OMG!!!! To be completely honest I am not expecting a referral until March/April but it is still exciting to see our date even in this little box let alone mid way in the box!!!!

Sooooo exciting!!!


Thursday, September 29, 2011

14 Days - in the September Batch

Well the last two months have been the wost batches EVER - in terms of RQ numbers they were 20 & 21 families (of course RQ families is only a fraction of the world total) but none the less brutally small months.

I got up on Wednesday morning and pulled up RQ as I do most mornings close to the end of the month and I saw July 28th!!! which was 14 days!!!! - in terms of RQ families it is 46 which is more in line with this year but it covered 14 days and I was soooooo excited!!

They are almost done July!! I can't believe that in approx 6-7 months (or possibly less?) we will be seeing our little baby girls face. It has been sooooo long and I still feel un-prepared and like its not real.

What this 14 day batch says to me is that they are not going to try to stretch out July to last until Dec (even if they skip a month) and that they (CCAA) will do a large number of days - both good news!!

ONLY 31 LID'S UNTIL US!!!!

Friday, July 1, 2011

58 months and June referrals!!


Well August 29th marked our 58th month since our LID - August will officially be 5 years since our file was logged in in China - there is no way we are getting a referral in the next 2 months so I guess there's just one more thing that China said that wasn't true (that the wait would not reach 5 years). Also since we started this process in January 2006 we have actually been waiting 5 1/2 years. Well at least we feel there is a light at the end of the tunnel!! Fingers crossed.

June referrals were sent out on June 30th - they have been literally arriving the last day of each month and there have been 6 months so far and also 6 referral batches!! I know they usually skip a month somewhere in the year but so far things are looking good. They only did 6 days this month which was extremely small compared to last month but not too far off from the rest of this year. Also there were a bunch of people who were in the expedited group as well as some people that were skipped last month.

I feel like if they continue to do approx the same amount of babies then it would put us around January/Feb for a referral. Will they do it??? who knows?? Once you get to August and even the second half of July there are so few people logged in that they could still do a small amount of babies but cover a larger amount of days so we will have to wait and see!!


Friday, May 20, 2011

April 29th referrals

Well referrals again kind of came out of nowhere - we use to have rumors for a week or two leading up and so much guessing as to how many days - now - nothing, they just seem to appear lately. The most we usually see is maybe a rumor the day before. Don't get me wrong I am not complaining, I wish more of them would just show up out of the blue!!

This month they only did up to an including June 20th that is 5 days of referrals. Not good - I was so hoping they would get to the 21st, I know that is only 1 more day but if they had included the 21st the numbers would be more in line for number of babies. RQ has predicated June 27th for the next batch. If this happens that would be amazing!!!! I have on my predication chart that they may only do to June 21st or June 22nd so if they do more that is great!

This years referrals have been a little bit off


  • January - no referrals

  • February 1st - referrals

  • Feb 29th - referrals

  • March - no referrals

  • April 1st - referrals

  • April 29th - referrals

There have been 4 referral batches and there have been 4 months (just a little off) I am REALLY hoping that we see referrals come the end of May or else 2 batches in June. I guess we will have to wait and see. If they can keep up the same pace or even a little better we could get a referral next January or February (fingers crossed) but as we know - you never know!!

Monday, February 28, 2011

New Referrals!!


Well I looked at Rumor Queen Thursday morning and to my surprise the CCAA sent out another batch of referrals. I couldn't believe it - there were no rumors about it or anything and then all of a sudden there were reports of phone calls in Europe!! I was thinking it wouldn't be until the first or second week of March so it was a very nice surprise!! It had only been 22 days since the last batch the sent out - although they skipped Jan so I kind of consider the first batch to be a Jan batch and then this one a Feb batch. They only did up to and including June 9th which again is a little disappointing but that is offset by the fact that they sent them out so quickly..lol!

The next couple of months is going to be a good indicator of what the CCAA is planning to do for the year. Because the attrition rate is sooo large for the months of June, July and August there are not a lot of people still logged in. The CCAA should easily be able to cover a week or two or even more at times in one month (even doing a reduced amount of babies) but there have been reports that the CCAA doesn't want to give the appearance of a speed up (believe me I think we all know it would not be a speed up). So for know we continue on the roller coaster ride and wait, wait, wait and wait some more for the day we get Mhyia's referral.

I almost think we have been let down so many times over the last 5 years that I might be caught off guard when the referral does come - I am in denial that it could possibly be within a year.
Each month RQ puts out a "projections" post - as with all of us she is kind of guessing at what the CCAA will do over the next couple of months so she is constantly having to play with the numbers and this month even had to add a new Winter 2011 column (since the last couple of months have fallen below her projections). Also she is currently working with numbers from a July 2010 poll so the new poll results should be up in the next couple of days and I can't wait to see the new numbers. These will be much more relevant to us since we are Aug lid.

As always only time will tell - only 81 lid's left until US!! This is me marking the days off my calendar at work!!